Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.