Major League Soccer

Sep 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
0 - 1
Montreal

FT(HT: 0-0)

Johnston (72', 72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

Last Six:

Last Game: Houston 3-1 New England
Wednesday, September 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Columbus Crew	30	5	41
5	New England Revolution	31	-3	38
6	Chicago Fire	31	-9	35

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	CF Montreal
48.89% ( -0.3)	24.22% ( 0.23)	26.89% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 56.06% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.06% (

-0.94)

45.94% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.75% (

-0.9)

68.25% (

0.9)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.13% (

-0.48)

18.87% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.67% (

-0.81)

50.33% (

0.81)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.1% (

-0.44)

30.9% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.81% (

-0.52)

67.19% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 48.9%

CF Montreal 26.89%

Draw 24.21%

New England Revolution	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.9%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.21%	0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 26.89%