Major League Soccer

Oct 1, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
2 - 1
Atlanta

Vrioni (32' pen.), Bou (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 0-1 Montreal
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 Philadelphia
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Atlanta United
48.23%	23.74%	28.04% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.63% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.01% (

42.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.61%

65.39%

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01%

17.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.15% (

48.85%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49% (

28.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.71%

64.3%

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 48.23%

Atlanta United 28.04%

Draw 23.74%

New England Revolution	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.47% 1-0 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.65% Total : 48.23%	1-1 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.74%	1-2 @ 6.93% 0-1 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.69% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.04%