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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 at 11.55pm UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
Atlanta United

Orlando City
0 - 1
Atlanta

FT(HT: 0-0)
Almada (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
49.78% (0.102 0.1)23.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.91% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 59.2% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)41.81% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)64.21% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05% (0.021000000000001 0.02)16.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.97% (0.038000000000004 0.04)47.02% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)28.72% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (-0.116 -0.12)64.55% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 49.78%
    Atlanta United 26.91%
    Draw 23.3%
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 49.78%
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 26.91%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Atlanta

Orlando City
73.9%
Draw
15.2%
Atlanta United
10.9%
46
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
1-1
Orlando City
Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 12am
Atlanta
3-0
Orlando City
Campbell (25'), Dike (38' og.), Barco (72')
Franco (34'), Campbell (45+1'), Sosa (81')

Carlos (37')
Jul 31, 2021 1am
Orlando City
3-2
Atlanta
Smith (43'), Van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')
Apr 17, 2021 8pm
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Orlando City
4-1
Atlanta
Dike (29'), Mueller (45+2'), Akindele (60'), Mendez (90+2')
Michel (88')
Torres (87')
Meza (45+1'), Remedi (81'), Mo (90+1')