| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 29 | -9 | 42 |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 31 | -3 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 31 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 30 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 31 | -9 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 49.78% ( | 23.3% ( | 26.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.19% ( | 41.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.79% ( | 64.21% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( | 16.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.97% ( | 47.02% ( |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( | 28.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.45% ( | 64.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 4.09% Total : 49.78% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 26.91% |