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Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
Orlando City

Philadelphia
5 - 1
Orlando City

Mbaizo (39'), Uhre (43'), Gazdag (55' pen.), Bedoya (63'), Elliott (87')
Flach (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Perea (75')
Schlegel (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 4 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

Last Six:
Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 Seattle
Thursday, September 1 at 2.22am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 Orlando City

 Although Orlando have won their last five games, we think that their winning run will come to an end when they face a Philadelphia side who are looking to clinch an eighth consecutive home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
62.68% (-0.522 -0.52) 20.81% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 16.51% (0.54 0.54)
Both teams to score 52.25% (1.278 1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (1.097 1.1)43.73% (-1.101 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (1.064 1.06)66.12% (-1.068 -1.07)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (0.185 0.19)13.35% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (0.379 0.38)40.23% (-0.383 -0.38)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.31% (1.349 1.35)39.69% (-1.353 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.63% (1.223 1.22)76.36% (-1.229 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 62.67%
    Orlando City 16.51%
    Draw 20.81%
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
2-0 @ 10.74% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.63% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.35% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.143 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.082 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 62.67%
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.181 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.81%
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.56% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.26% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.51%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Orlando City

Philadelphia Union
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
Orlando City
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
0-1
Philadelphia

Kara (31'), Moutinho (37'), Araujo (63')
Gazdag (39')
Andres Martinez (8'), Carranza (44')
Sep 19, 2021 9pm
Philadelphia
3-1
Orlando City
Wagner (37'), Przybylko (61', 89' pen.)
Flach (53')
Ruan (57')
Schlegel (33'), Ruan (59'), Michel (75'), Gallese (80'), Jansson (80'), Aguilera (86')
Carlos (88')
Jul 23, 2021 1.25am
Orlando City
2-1
Philadelphia
Michel (10'), Perea (59')
Pereyra (45'), Michel (78')
Przybylko (68')
Santos (56')
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
P-P
Orlando City
Jul 26, 2020 12.30am
Orlando City
P-P
Philadelphia
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114
> Full Version


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