Major League Soccer
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Nicholas Gioacchini 34' goal
  • Klauss 45'+3' goal
  • Tomas Ostrak 68' goal

St Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 3.30am
Portland 1 - 2 St Louis City
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Samuel Adeniran

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes 1 - 0 Colorado
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Cristian Espinoza

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-0 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result

St Louis City 24.76% (-0.82)
Draw 25.1% (-0.02)
San Jose Earthquakes 50.14% (+0.84)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.3% (-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.71% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 51.29% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 26.88% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 73.12% (+0.51)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 64.5% (-1.01)
Under 0.5 35.5% (+1.01)
Over 1.5 27.73% (-1.06)
Under 1.5 72.26% (+1.06)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 79.53% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 20.47% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 47.06% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 52.94% (-0.19)

Score analysis

St Louis City 24.76%
Draw 25.09%
San Jose Earthquakes 50.14%
St Louis City
1-0 @ 7.53% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.27% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.09%
San Jose Earthquakes
0-1 @ 11.52% (+0.30)
1-2 @ 9.47% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 9.14% (+0.28)
1-3 @ 5.01% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.83% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.99% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.92% (+0.08)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 50.14%