Major League Soccer

Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Citypark

St Louis City
3 - 0
Earthquakes

Gioacchini (34'), Klauss (45+3'), Ostrak (68')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

Last Game: Portland 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-0 Colorado
Sunday, March 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-0 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
24.76% ( -0.82)	25.1% ( -0.02)	50.14% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 51.3% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.71% (

-0.57)

51.29% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88% (

-0.5)

73.12% (

0.5)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.5% (

-1)

35.5% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.73% (

-1.06)

72.26% (

1.06)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.53% (

0.12)

20.47% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.06% (

0.19)

52.94% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 24.76%

San Jose Earthquakes 50.14%

Draw 25.09%

St Louis City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.76%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.14%