Major League Soccer

Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Almada (90+3', 90+9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ebobisse (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 NY City
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 2-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 57.85%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
57.85% ( 0.23)	20.91% ( -0.32)	21.24% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 60.84% (

1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.4% (

1.69)

36.6% (

-1.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.25% (

1.82)

58.75% (

-1.82)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5% (

0.61)

12.5% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.5% (

1.26)

38.5% (

-1.25)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.53% (

1.06)

30.47% (

-1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.32% (

1.24)

66.68% (

-1.24)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 57.85%

San Jose Earthquakes 21.24%

Draw 20.91%

Atlanta United	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.11% Total : 57.85%	1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.91%	1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 21.24%