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Atlanta United
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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New York City

Atlanta
1 - 2
NY City

Gutman (67')
Araujo (45+6'), Almada (64'), Sanchez (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (9'), Heber (60')
Callens (10'), Rodriguez (72'), Johnson (83'), Tinnerholm (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 1 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-1 Orlando City
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-2 New York City FC

Although Atlanta are a strong proposition at home, they have little to play for in their final game, whereas New York City have the motivation of finishing above their local rivals. Recent form and the fact that the away side will still be on a high following recent cup glory just gives them the edge here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New York City FC in this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York City FC
48.88% (-0.143 -0.14) 23.28% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.83% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 60.06% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.97% (0.093000000000004 0.09)41.02% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.58% (0.094000000000001 0.09)63.41% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)16.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.9% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)47.09% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (0.14700000000001 0.15)27.65% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (0.187 0.19)63.19% (-0.186 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 48.88%
    New York City FC 27.83%
    Draw 23.28%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 27.83%

How you voted: Atlanta vs NY City

Atlanta United
37.5%
Draw
0.0%
New York City FC
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Jul 3, 2022 10pm
NY City
2-2
Atlanta
Castellanos (37', 58')
Chanot (18'), Rodriguez (24'), Magno (53'), Morales (71')
Martinez (56'), Dwyer (86')
McFadden (16'), Araujo (47')
Nov 21, 2021 8pm
NY City
2-0
Atlanta
Castellanos (49'), Callens (53')

Franco (43'), Moreno (81')
Franco (90+3')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Atlanta
1-1
NY City
Moreno (17')
Franco (60'), Robinson (85')
Thorarinsson (90')
Moralez (24'), Sands (90+4')
Jun 24, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Atlanta
Tajouri (69')

Sosa (12'), Barco (45'), Lopez (55')
Aug 1, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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