Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New York City FC in this match.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
48.88% ( -0.14) | 23.28% ( 0) | 27.83% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 60.06% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.97% ( 0.09) | 41.02% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.58% ( 0.09) | 63.41% ( -0.09) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% ( -0.02) | 16.98% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.9% ( -0.03) | 47.09% ( 0.04) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% ( 0.15) | 27.65% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% ( 0.19) | 63.19% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 4.1% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 27.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |