Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Andrew Gutman 67' goal
  • goal Gabriel Pereira 9'
  • goal Heber 60'

Atlanta United vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 6.30pm
New England 2 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Josef Martinez

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 2, 2022 6.00pm
NY City 2 - 1 Orlando City
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New York City FC in this match.

Result

Atlanta United 48.88% (-0.15)
Draw 23.28% (+0.01)
New York City FC 27.83% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.06% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.97% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 41.02% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 36.58% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 63.41% (-0.10)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 83.01% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 16.98% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.9% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 47.09% (+0.04)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 72.35% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 27.65% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 36.8% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 63.19% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 48.88%
Draw 23.28%
New York City FC 27.83%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.6% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 48.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.1% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.28%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 6.88% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 3.88% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.61% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 27.83%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 3, 2022 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Maxime Chanot 18' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 24' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 37' goal
  • Talles Magno 53' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 58' goal
  • Alfredo Morales 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aiden McFadden 16'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 47'
  • goal Josef Martinez 56'
  • goal Dom Dwyer 86'
Major League Soccer
Nov 21, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Valentin Castellanos 49' goal
  • Alexander Callens 53' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 43'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Moreno 81'
  • redcard Alan Franco 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 40
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marcelino Moreno 17' goal
  • Alan Franco 60' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 24'
  • goal Gudmundur Thorarinsson 90'
  • yellowcard James Sands 90'+4'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 12
Jun 24, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ismael Tajouri 69' goal
  • yellowcard Santiago Sosa 12'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Barco 45'
  • yellowcard Erik Lopez 55'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 33
Aug 1, 2020 8.00pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 22
Jun 18, 2020 12.00am