Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2022 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alexander Callens 66' goal
  • Talles Magno 81' goal
  • goal Facundo Torres 47'

New York City FC vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 17, 2022 6.00pm
NY City 2 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City 4 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Ercan Kara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result

New York City FC 68.6% (+0.09)
Draw 18.94% (-0.04)
Orlando City 12.45% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.96% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.97% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 44.03% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 33.59% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 66.41% (-0.06)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 88.24% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 11.76% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 63.07% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 36.93% (-0.09)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 54.35% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 45.65% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 18.55% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 81.45% (+0.04)

Score analysis

New York City FC 68.59%
Draw 18.94%
Orlando City 12.45%
New York City FC
2-0 @ 12.29% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.78% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.88% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.7% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.68% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.01% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.58% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 68.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.01% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 18.94%
Orlando City
0-1 @ 4.21% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.65% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 12.45%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 29, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Junior Urso 7' goal
  • Antonio Carlos 50' yellowcard
  • Tesho Akindele 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 45'+1'
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 53'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 89'
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 19
Jul 25, 2021 11.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jesus Medina 40' goal
  • Ismael Tajouri 53' goal
  • Maximiliano Moralez 66' goal
  • Nicolas Acevedo 74' yellowcard
  • M. Meineche 79' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 82' goal
  • yellowcard Antonio Carlos 41'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 86'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 6
May 8, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Kyle Smith 34' yellowcard
  • Nani 52' goal
  • yellowcard James Sands 64'
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 77'
MLS Playoffs
Nov 21, 2020 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nani 5' goal
  • Antonio Carlos 71' yellowcard
  • Ruan 77' yellowcard
  • Ruan 87' redcard
  • Robin Jansson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Andres Perea 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Pedro Gallese 103' yellowcard
  • goal Maxime Chanot 8'
  • yellowcard Valentin Castellanos 70'
  • yellowcard Gary Mackay-Steven 88'
  • yellowcard Sebastien Ibeagha 120'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 18
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Antonio Carlos 3' yellowcard
  • Christopher Mueller 18' goal
  • Robin Jansson 37' yellowcard
  • Kamal Miller 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Ring 5'
  • goal Keaton Parks 43'
  • yellowcard Anton Tinnerholm 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Keaton Parks 82'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 42
Sep 20, 2020 12.30am