Major League Soccer

Oct 2, 2022 at 6pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
2 - 1
Orlando City

Callens (66'), Magno (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Torres (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Orlando City
68.6% ( 0.09)	18.94% ( -0.04)	12.45% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 47.96% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.97% (

0.05)

44.03% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.59% (

0.05)

66.41% (

-0.05)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.24% (

0.03)

11.76% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.07% (

0.08)

36.93% (

-0.08)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.35% (

-0.05)

45.65% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.55% (

-0.04)

81.45% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 68.59%

Orlando City 12.45%

Draw 18.94%

New York City FC	Draw	Orlando City
2-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 68.59%	1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.94%	0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.15% Total : 12.45%