Major League Soccer

Sep 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
4 - 0
Toronto

Torres (9'), Kara (22'), MacNaughton (47' og.), Akindele (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

Last Six:

Last Game: Atlanta 4-2 Toronto
Sunday, September 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Chicago Fire	31	-9	35
7	Toronto	31	-8	34
8	Sporting Kansas City	31	-11	34

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Toronto
55.01% ( -1.81)	22.66% ( 0.46)	22.32% ( 1.34)

Both teams to score 56.25% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.63% (

-0.42)

43.36% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.24% (

-0.42)

65.76% (

0.41)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.34% (

-0.74)

15.66% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.31% (

-1.4)

44.69% (

1.4)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.69% (

1.02)

33.31% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.07% (

1.11)

69.92% (

-1.11)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 55.02%

Toronto 22.32%

Draw 22.66%

Orlando City	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.6% Total : 55.02%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.66%	1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.31% Total : 22.32%