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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
Toronto FC

Orlando City
4 - 0
Toronto

Torres (9'), Kara (22'), MacNaughton (47' og.), Akindele (84')
Moutinho (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Criscito (32'), MacNaughton (82'), Bernardeschi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 Atlanta
Wednesday, September 14 at 11.55pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 4-2 Toronto
Sunday, September 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Toronto

There may be more clinical finishers on the TFC side when compared to Orlando, but Toronto leave too many gaps in their third of the field and rely a little too heavily on their Italians to carry them through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawToronto
55.01% (-1.806 -1.81) 22.66% (0.464 0.46) 22.32% (1.338 1.34)
Both teams to score 56.25% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.63% (-0.42 -0.42)43.36% (0.418 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.24% (-0.416 -0.42)65.76% (0.41200000000001 0.41)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (-0.74499999999999 -0.74)15.66% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.31% (-1.399 -1.4)44.69% (1.396 1.4)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (1.02 1.02)33.31% (-1.022 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (1.106 1.11)69.92% (-1.109 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 55.02%
    Toronto 22.32%
    Draw 22.66%
Orlando CityDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.338 -0.34)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.167 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 55.02%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.275 0.28)
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 22.32%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Toronto

Orlando City
35.7%
Draw
21.4%
Toronto
42.9%
14
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 8pm
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
1-1
Orlando City
Altidore (72')
Bono (76'), Bradley (84')
Nani (77' pen.)
Schlegel (68'), Perea (79')
Jun 20, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
2-3
Orlando City
Akinola (10'), Osorio (39')
Delgado (64'), Gonzalez (67')
Akindele (1'), Urso (84')
Urso (70'), Moutinho (75'), Nani (90+8')
May 23, 2021 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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