Major League Soccer

Mar 5, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Avaya Stadium

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Vancouver

Ebobisse (68'), Akapo (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Schopf (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, February 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for San Jose Earthquakes.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
51.16% ( 0.25)	23.02% ( -0.06)	25.82% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 59.16% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.59% (

0.13)

41.4% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.2% (

0.13)

63.8% (

-0.13)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.7% (

0.13)

16.3% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.14% (

0.24)

45.86% (

-0.24)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

-0.08)

29.32% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.7% (

-0.09)

65.29% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 51.16%

Vancouver Whitecaps 25.82%

Draw 23.01%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 51.16%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.01%	1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 25.82%