Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 67.5% | 17.47% | 15.02% |
| Both teams to score 61.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.24% | 30.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.89% | 52.1% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.59% | 8.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.77% | 29.23% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% | 33.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% | 70.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.79% 3-0 @ 7.1% 1-0 @ 6.95% 4-1 @ 4.82% 4-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 4.28% 4-2 @ 2.65% 5-1 @ 2.39% 5-0 @ 2.18% 5-2 @ 1.31% 6-1 @ 0.99% 4-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.64% Total : 67.5% | 1-1 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 5.18% 0-0 @ 2.81% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.3% Total : 17.47% | 1-2 @ 4.18% 0-1 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-2 @ 1.69% 1-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.64% Total : 15.02% |