Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18

Jul 25, 2021 at 3am UK

Buck Shaw Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Houston

Valentin (45+5' og.)
Cardoso (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vera (40')
Picault (53'), Parker (57'), Vera (68'), Urruti (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Houston Dynamo
53.3%	23.04%	23.65%

Both teams to score 56.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.41%

43.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.02%

65.97%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67%

16.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.08%

45.91%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.75%

32.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.25%

68.74%

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 53.3%

Houston Dynamo 23.66%

Draw 23.03%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 5.91% 3-0 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.3%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.54% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 6.11% 0-1 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.55% Total : 23.66%