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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18
Jul 25, 2021 at 3am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
Houston Dynamo
Earthquakes
1 - 1
Houston
Valentin (45+5' og.)
Cardoso (70')
Fierro (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vera (40')
Picault (53'), Parker (57'), Vera (68'), Urruti (90+8')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
53.3%23.04%23.65%
Both teams to score 56.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.41%43.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.02%65.97%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67%16.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08%45.91%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75%32.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25%68.74%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 53.3%
    Houston Dynamo 23.66%
    Draw 23.03%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 5.91%
3-0 @ 5.22%
3-2 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.68%
4-0 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.52%
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 53.3%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 5.54%
0-0 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-1 @ 5.96%
0-2 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 23.66%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Houston

San Jose Earthquakes
43.8%
Draw
50.0%
Houston Dynamo
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 1am
Aug 10, 2020 2am
May 3, 2020 9pm
Jun 27, 2019 3.30am
Gameweek 21
Earthquakes
2-0
Houston
Vako (22', 75')
Kashia (77')

Pena (17'), DeLaGarza (57'), McNamara (93')
Apr 13, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 8
Houston
2-1
Earthquakes
Elis (52'), Martinez (60')
Figueroa (30'), Elis (53'), Lundqvist (69')
Yueill (56')
Thompson (28'), Godoy (34')
Lopez (87')
rhs 2.0
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