Major League Soccer

Mar 12, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
1 - 2
St Louis City

McGraw (3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stroud (45+1'), Hiebert (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Saturday, March 4 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 58.67%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	St Louis City
58.67% ( 0.36)	20.54% ( -0.13)	20.79% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 61.47% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.55% (

0.32)

35.46% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.51% (

0.35)

57.5% (

-0.35)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.09% (

0.2)

11.91% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.74% (

0.42)

37.26% (

-0.41)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.79% (

-0.01)

30.22% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.62% (

-0.02)

66.38% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 58.67%

St Louis City 20.79%

Draw 20.54%

Portland Timbers	Draw	St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.67%	1-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.54%	1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 20.79%