Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 3.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Providence Park
  • Zac McGraw 3' goal
  • goal Jared Stroud 45'+1'
  • goal Kyle Hiebert 75'

Portland Timbers vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 9.30pm
Los Angeles 3 - 2 Portland
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Franck Boli

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 5, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City 3 - 1 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Samuel Adeniran

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 58.67%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Portland Timbers 58.67% (+0.36)
Draw 20.54% (-0.13)
St Louis City 20.79% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.47% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.55% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 35.46% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 42.51% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 57.5% (-0.35)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5 88.09% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 11.91% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 62.74% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 37.26% (-0.42)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 69.79% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.22% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 33.62% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.38% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Portland Timbers 58.67%
Draw 20.54%
St Louis City 20.79%
Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.92% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.78% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.14% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.68% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 3.07% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 2.2% (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.57% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.31% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 58.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.6% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.65% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.54%
St Louis City
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 4.31% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 20.79%