Major League Soccer

Mar 4, 2023 at 9.30pm UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
3 - 2
Portland

Chiellini (24'), Vela (34' pen.), Opoku (52')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Evander (62'), Paredes (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-3 Philadelphia (3-0 pen.)
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 1-0 Kansas
Tuesday, February 28 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
65.38% ( 0.79)	19.21% ( -0.07)	15.41% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 55.29% (

-1.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.52% (

-1.17)

38.48% (

1.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.22% (

-1.25)

60.78% (

1.25)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.97% (

-0.13)

11.03% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.66% (

-0.29)

35.33% (

0.29)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.15% (

-1.64)

37.85% (

1.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.37% (

-1.63)

74.63% (

1.62)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 65.38%

Portland Timbers 15.41%

Draw 19.21%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.46) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.34% Total : 65.38%	1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.21%	1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.41%