Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
65.38% ( 0.79) | 19.21% ( -0.07) | 15.41% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 55.29% ( -1.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.52% ( -1.17) | 38.48% ( 1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.22% ( -1.25) | 60.78% ( 1.25) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.97% ( -0.13) | 11.03% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.66% ( -0.29) | 35.33% ( 0.29) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.15% ( -1.64) | 37.85% ( 1.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.37% ( -1.63) | 74.63% ( 1.62) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.46) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.34% Total : 65.38% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.21% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |