Major League Soccer

Mar 12, 2023 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
1 - 2
Austin

Glad (22')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Gallagher (9'), Wolff (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Seattle 2-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, March 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Austin 1-0 Montreal
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Austin FC
59.48% ( 0.15)	21.79% ( -0.06)	18.74% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 53.47% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.68% (

0.13)

44.32% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3% (

0.13)

66.7% (

-0.13)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.48% (

0.09)

14.52% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.45% (

0.18)

42.55% (

-0.18)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.56% (

-0.02)

37.44% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.78% (

-0.02)

74.22% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 59.47%

Austin FC 18.74%

Draw 21.78%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 59.47%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.78%	0-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 18.74%