Major League Soccer

Mar 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
1 - 0
Montreal

Urruti (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Austin 2-3 Saint Louis City
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

CF Montreal

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Montreal
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	CF Montreal
46.69% ( 0.3)	22.9% ( -0.01)	30.4% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 63.29% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.44% (

-0.13)

37.55% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.21% (

-0.14)

59.78% (

0.14)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51% (

0.06)

16.48% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.79% (

0.11)

46.2% (

-0.11)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.78% (

-0.24)

24.21% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.44% (

-0.34)

58.55% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 46.69%

CF Montreal 30.4%

Draw 22.9%

Austin FC	Draw	CF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.45% Total : 46.69%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.9%	1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.4%