Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bold Stadium
  • Maximiliano Urruti 88' goal

Austin FC vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 1.30am
Austin 2 - 3 St Louis City
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Sebastian Driussi

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami 2 - 0 Montreal
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Kwadwo Opoku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result

Austin FC 46.69% (+0.30)
Draw 22.9% (-0.01)
CF Montreal 30.4% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.29% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.44% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 37.55% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 40.21% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 59.78% (+0.14)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 83.51% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 16.48% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 53.79% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 46.2% (-0.12)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 75.78% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 24.21% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 41.44% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 58.55% (+0.34)

Score analysis

Austin FC 46.69%
Draw 22.9%
CF Montreal 30.4%
Austin FC
2-1 @ 9.2% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.2% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.49% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.53% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.76% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 46.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.99% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.9%
CF Montreal
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.4%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Daniel Pereira 6'
  • redcard Daniel Pereira 44'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Urruti 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Julio Cascante 48'
  • yellowcard Jon Gallagher 60'
  • goal Maximiliano Urruti 67'