MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 02:14:45| >> :60:1927:1927:
Montreal Impact
MLS Playoffs | Conference Semi-Finals
Oct 23, 2022 at 6pm UK
Saputo Stadium
New York City

Montreal
1 - 3
NY City

Mihailovic (85')
Camacho (53'), Waterman (67'), Mihailovic (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Moralez (6'), Heber (45+3'), Magno (61' pen.)
O'Toole (33'), Rodriguez (38'), Callens (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between CF Montreal and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Orlando City
Monday, October 17 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

We said: CF Montreal 1-0 New York City FC

There is an excellent case to be made for either side to win this encounter, but we are going with the home team because they have been more consistent all season long and appear to be healthier, which at this time of year could tip the scales in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
55.84% (1.075 1.08) 22.71% (-0.309 -0.31) 21.44% (-0.765 -0.77)
Both teams to score 54.85% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36% (0.438 0.44)44.64% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33% (0.422 0.42)67% (-0.42 -0.42)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (0.52499999999999 0.52)15.82% (-0.524 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (0.961 0.96)44.99% (-0.959 -0.96)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)34.84% (0.481 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42% (-0.506 -0.51)71.58% (0.509 0.51)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 55.84%
    New York City FC 21.44%
    Draw 22.7%
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.07% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.197 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.8% (0.109 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.136 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.057 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 55.84%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.7%
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 21.44%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
TBC
20.0%
20
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 12.30am
Mar 12, 2022 6pm
Jul 22, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Montreal
Tajouri (29')
Chanot (62')

Waterman (42'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (76')
Jul 8, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
2-1
NY City
Toye (43' pen.), Quioto (73')
Brault-Guillard (57')
Parks (29')
Moralez (60'), Ibeagha (70'), Morales (77'), Castellanos (90+5')
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Montreal
Medina (68'), Moralez (83'), Rocha (86')
Tinnerholm (68'), Matarrita (89'), (90+1')
Quioto (89')
(90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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