MLS Playoffs | Conference Semi-Finals

Oct 23, 2022 at 6pm UK

Saputo Stadium

Montreal
1 - 3
NY City

Mihailovic (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Moralez (6'), Heber (45+3'), Magno (61' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between CF Montreal and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Orlando City
Monday, October 17 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: NY City 3-0 Inter Miami
Tuesday, October 18 at 12am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	New York City FC
55.84% ( 1.08)	22.71% ( -0.31)	21.44% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 54.85% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.36% (

0.44)

44.64% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33% (

0.42)

67% (

-0.42)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.18% (

0.52)

15.82% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.01% (

0.96)

44.99% (

-0.96)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16% (

-0.48)

34.84% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.42% (

-0.51)

71.58% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 55.84%

New York City FC 21.44%

Draw 22.7%

CF Montreal	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.46% Total : 55.84%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.7%	0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.44%