MLS Playoffs
Oct 18, 2022 12.00am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gabriel Pereira 63' goal
  • Gabriel Pereira 63' goal
  • Maximiliano Moralez 69' goal
  • Heber 90'+2' goal

New York City FC vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Inter Miami

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result

New York City FC 69.3% (+1.01)
Draw 18.61% (-0.09)
Inter Miami 12.09% (-0.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.94% (-2.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.54% (-1.89)
Under 2.5 43.45% (+1.89)
Over 3.5 34.15% (-1.89)
Under 3.5 65.85% (+1.89)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 88.59% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 11.41% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 63.83% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 36.17% (+0.59)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 54.11% (-2.69)
Under 0.5 45.89% (+2.69)
Over 1.5 18.36% (-2.18)
Under 1.5 81.63% (+2.18)

Score analysis

New York City FC 69.29%
Draw 18.61%
Inter Miami 12.09%
New York City FC
2-0 @ 12.33% (+0.75)
1-0 @ 11.36% (+0.80)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 8.93% (+0.45)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.17)
4-0 @ 4.84% (+0.20)
4-1 @ 3.77% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.28)
5-0 @ 2.1% (+0.07)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.17)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 69.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.24% (+0.43)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.34)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 18.61%
Inter Miami
0-1 @ 4.08% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.45% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 12.09%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 1.00am
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Gregore 32' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 39' goal
  • Robert Taylor 48' yellowcard
  • Ariel Lassiter 63' goal
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 84' goal
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 84' yellowcard
  • goal Talles Magno 34'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morales 41'
  • goal Thiago Andrade 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Malte Amundsen 55'
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 77'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 86'
Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Maximiliano Moralez 12' goal
  • Alfredo Morales 14' yellowcard
  • Heber 75' goal
Major League Soccer Gameweek 44
Oct 30, 2021 6.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brek Shea 29' yellowcard
  • Gregore 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jorge Figal 56' goal
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 81' yellowcard
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 33'
  • yellowcard Alexander Callens 52'
  • yellowcard Jesus Medina 57'
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 60'
  • yellowcard Ronny Deila 76'
  • goal Talles Magno 83'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 24
Aug 15, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • M. Meineche 10' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 21' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 45'+1' goal
  • Keaton Parks 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregore 41'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Leerdam 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kieran Gibbs 54'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 14
Oct 4, 2020 1.00am
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 25' yellowcard
  • Lewis Morgan 27' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 38' goal
  • Wil Trapp 47' yellowcard
  • Matias Pellegrini 72' yellowcard
  • goal Alexandru Mitrita 4'
  • goal Anton Tinnerholm 35'
  • goal Alexandru Mitrita 43'
  • yellowcard Sebastien Ibeagha 75'
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Gary Mackay-Steven 90'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Sep 17, 2020 12.00am