MLS Playoffs | First Round

Oct 18, 2022 at 12am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
3 - 0
Inter Miami

Pereira (63', 63'), Moralez (69'), Heber (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's MLS Playoffs clash between New York City FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 NY City
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Montreal
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Inter Miami
69.3% ( 1.01)	18.61% ( -0.09)	12.09% ( -0.92)

Both teams to score 47.94% (

-2.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.54% (

-1.89)

43.45% (

1.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.15% (

-1.88)

65.85% (

1.88)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.59% (

-0.26)

11.41% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.83% (

-0.58)

36.17% (

0.58)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.11% (

-2.69)

45.89% (

2.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.36% (

-2.17)

81.63% (

2.17)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 69.29%

Inter Miami 12.09%

Draw 18.61%

New York City FC	Draw	Inter Miami
2-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.74) 1-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.28) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.57% Total : 69.29%	1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.34) Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.61%	0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.01% Total : 12.09%