Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2022 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 86'

Toronto vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City 4 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Jonathan Osorio

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 18, 2022 10.00pm
DC United 2 - 3 Inter Miami
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Gonzalo Higuain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result

Toronto 54.97% (-0.20)
Draw 22.98% (+0.06)
Inter Miami 22.05% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.81% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.9% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 45.1% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 32.56% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 67.44% (+0.06)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 83.72% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 16.28% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 54.16% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 45.84% (+0.17)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 65.47% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 34.53% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 28.75% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 71.25% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Toronto 54.97%
Draw 22.98%
Inter Miami 22.05%
Toronto
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.96% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 54.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.62% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.98%
Inter Miami
0-1 @ 5.98% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.77% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.18% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.05% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 22.05%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2022 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jean Mota 24' goal
  • Ariel Lassiter 44' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 28'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 56'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 40
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Federico Higuain 10' goal
  • Federico Higuain 11' yellowcard
  • Christian Makoun 45' goal
  • Eriq Zavaleta 61' goal
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 75' yellowcard
Major League Soccer Gameweek 32
Sep 15, 2021 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Mavinga 31' yellowcard
  • Kemar Lawrence 37' redcard
  • Richie Laryea 61' yellowcard
  • Marco Delgado 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregore 53'
  • yellowcard Robbie Robinson 68'
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 72'
  • goal Christian Makoun 90'+5'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 27
Aug 22, 2021 1.00am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Rodolfo Pizarro 15' goal
  • Jorge Figal 27' yellowcard
  • Robbie Robinson 35' goal
  • Rodolfo Pizarro 48' goal
  • Robbie Robinson 51' yellowcard
  • Gregore 61' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Gibbs 62' (OG)
  • yellowcard Michael Bradley 65'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 24
Nov 2, 2020 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field
  • Ayomide Akinola 55' goal
  • Michael Bradley 77' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 84' goal
  • goal Blaise Matuidi 42'
  • yellowcard Blaise Matuidi 69'
  • yellowcard Ben Sweat 82'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 19
May 31, 2020 11.00pm