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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Inter Miami

Toronto
0 - 1
Inter Miami


Insigne (45+3'), Bradley (49'), Laryea (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Higuain (86')
Campana (32'), Gregore (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Orlando City 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-2 Inter Miami

 We expect Toronto to put up a fight, as their dangerous attacking tandem should be able to create their share of opportunities, but Higuain has found another gear and seems to be in the zone right now, so look for him to step it up and propel his side to another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawInter Miami
54.97% (-0.195 -0.2) 22.98% (0.052000000000003 0.05) 22.05% (0.145 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.81% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)45.1% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)67.44% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)16.28% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.16% (-0.161 -0.16)45.84% (0.164 0.16)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.47% (0.104 0.1)34.53% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.75% (0.11 0.11)71.25% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 54.97%
    Inter Miami 22.05%
    Draw 22.98%
TorontoDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 54.97%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.98%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 22.05%

How you voted: Toronto vs Inter Miami

Toronto
27.8%
Draw
22.2%
Inter Miami
50.0%
54
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
2-1
Toronto
Mota (24'), Lassiter (44')
Insigne (28')
Bernardeschi (56')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Inter Miami
3-0
Toronto
Higuain (10'), Makoun (45'), Zavaleta (61' og.)
Higuain (11'), Gonzalez Pirez (75')
Sep 15, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
0-1
Inter Miami

Mavinga (31'), Laryea (61'), Delgado (67')
Lawrence (37')
Makoun (90+5' pen.)
Gregore (53'), Robinson (68'), Gonzalez Pirez (72')
Aug 22, 2021 1am
Inter Miami
3-1
Toronto
Pizarro (15', 48'), Robinson (35')
Figal (27'), Robinson (51'), Gregore (61')
Gibbs (62' og.)
Bradley (65')
Nov 2, 2020 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Inter Miami
Akinola (55'), Pozuelo (84' pen.)
Bradley (77')
Matuidi (42')
Matuidi (69'), Sweat (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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