Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Joel Waterman 85' goal
  • goal Djordje Mihailovic 5'
  • goal Lassi Lappalainen 8'
  • goal Kei Kamara 36'

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 6, 2022 1.00am
Inter Miami 4 - 1 Orlando City
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Gonzalo Higuain

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
Montreal 1 - 0 DC United
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Romell Quioto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result

Inter Miami 30.48% (+0.13)
Draw 23.38% (+0.09)
CF Montreal 46.13% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.6% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.2% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 39.8% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 37.84% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 62.15% (+0.35)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 74.72% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 25.27% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 39.96% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 60.03% (+0.12)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 82.43% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 17.56% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 51.88% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 48.11% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 30.48%
Draw 23.37%
CF Montreal 46.13%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 7.3% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.11% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.2% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.35% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.93% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.44% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.37%
CF Montreal
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.72% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.71% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.89% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.68% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 46.13%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Romell Quioto 5' goal
  • Romell Quioto 21' goal
  • Joel Waterman 31' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 6'
  • goal Emerson Rodriguez 79'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Aug 1, 2021 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gonzalo Higuain 49' goal
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 54' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Higuain 69' goal
  • Gregore 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Victor Wanyama 18'
  • goal Joaquin Torres 20'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 15
Jul 4, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Victor Wanyama 14' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Choiniere 41' goal
  • Aljaz Struna 54' yellowcard
  • Rudy Camacho 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 71'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Leerdam 73'
  • yellowcard Gregore 76'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 6
May 13, 2021 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 7' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Higuain 60' yellowcard
  • Federico Higuain 88' yellowcard
  • goal Bjorn Johnsen 14'
  • goal Bjorn Johnsen 25'
  • yellowcard Kamal Miller 33'
  • yellowcard Aljaz Struna 82'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 19
Oct 18, 2020 12.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Bojan Krkic 6' goal
  • Maximiliano Urruti 80' goal
  • Joel Waterman 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Brek Shea 33'
  • yellowcard Ben Sweat 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 69'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 42
Sep 20, 2020 1.00am