Major League Soccer

Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

New Fort Lauderdale Stadium

Inter Miami
1 - 3
Montreal

Waterman (85' og.)

FT(HT: 0-3)

Mihailovic (5'), Lappalainen (8'), Kamara (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 4-1 Orlando City
Thursday, October 6 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 1-0 DC United
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	CF Montreal
30.48% ( 0.13)	23.38% ( 0.08)	46.13% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 61.6% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.2% (

-0.34)

39.8% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.84% (

-0.35)

62.15% (

0.35)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.72% (

-0.09)

25.27% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.96% (

-0.12)

60.03% (

0.12)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.43% (

-0.22)

17.56% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.88% (

-0.38)

48.11% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 30.48%

CF Montreal 46.13%

Draw 23.37%

Inter Miami	Draw	CF Montreal
2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.48%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.37%	1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.92% Total : 46.13%