Montreal Impact
MLS Playoffs | First Round
Oct 17, 2022 at 1am UK
Saputo Stadium
Orlando City

Montreal
2 - 0
Orlando City

Kone (68'), Mihailovic (90+9' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's MLS Playoffs clash between CF Montreal and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Montreal
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 65.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for CF Montreal in this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawOrlando City
65.61% (1.197 1.2)20.12% (-0.357 -0.36)14.27% (-0.836 -0.84)
Both teams to score 49.19% (-0.931 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (-0.149 -0.15)45.08% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (-0.145 -0.15)67.43% (0.149 0.15)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.09% (0.307 0.31)12.91% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.66% (0.61799999999999 0.62)39.34% (-0.613 -0.61)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.48% (-1.266 -1.27)43.52% (1.272 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.28% (-1.072 -1.07)79.73% (1.077 1.08)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 65.6%
    Orlando City 14.27%
    Draw 20.12%
CF MontrealDrawOrlando City
2-0 @ 11.77% (0.34 0.34)
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.03% (0.32 0.32)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.11% (0.208 0.21)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.68% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 65.6%
1-1 @ 9.57% (-0.165 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 20.12%
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-2 @ 3.98% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-2 @ 1.95% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 14.27%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
TBC
9.1%
11
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 9pm
Montreal
4-1
Orlando City
Waterman (21'), Mihailovic (52'), Torres (81'), Brault-Guillard (84')
Waterman (24'), Mihailovic (42'), Quioto (55'), Piette (79')
Moutinho (72')
Kara (68'), Williams (89')
Feb 27, 2022 6pm
Orlando City
2-0
Montreal
Pato (49'), Michel (59')
Araujo (56'), Jansson (66'), Moutinho (85')
Jansson (81')

Wanyama (87'), Waterman (90+4'), Torres (90+5')
Quioto (66')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Montreal
0-2
Orlando City

Piette (45+1')
Camacho (79')
Mendez (55'), Dike (86')
van der Water (34'), Mendez (56'), Urso (65')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
1-1
Montreal
Mueller (45')
Rosell (30'), Schlegel (90+4')
Camacho (51')
Sunusi (90+1')
Sep 16, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
2-4
Montreal
Jansson (40'), Ruan (63')
Nani (28')
Nani (35'), Perea (83')
Choiniere (18'), Quioto (37'), Lappalainen (73'), Sunusi (80')
Wanyama (39'), Waterman (72')
rhs 2.0


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