Major League Soccer

Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
2 - 1
Columbus Crew

Urso (56'), Torres (84' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Etienne (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 4-1 Orlando City
Thursday, October 6 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, October 6 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Orlando City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Orlando City.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Columbus Crew
52.49% ( 0.07)	23.67% ( -0.03)	23.83% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.81% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.83% (

0.07)

46.17% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.53% (

0.07)

68.46% (

-0.07)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.43% (

0.05)

17.56% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.88% (

0.09)

48.11% (

-0.09)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.49% (

33.51% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.85% (

0.01)

70.14% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 52.49%

Columbus Crew 23.83%

Draw 23.67%

Orlando City	Draw	Columbus Crew
1-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.69% Total : 52.49%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.67%	0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 23.83%