Major League Soccer

Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
2 - 1
Kansas

Velasco (55'), Ferreira (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Salloi (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Dallas
Saturday, March 11 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 0-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
57.43% ( -0.11)	23.04% ( 0.03)	19.53% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 50.83% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.47% (

0.02)

48.53% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34% (

0.01)

70.66% (

-0.01)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.36% (

-0.03)

16.64% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.51% (

-0.06)

46.49% (

0.06)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.98% (

0.1)

39.02% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.26% (

0.1)

75.75% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Dallas 57.43%

Sporting Kansas City 19.53%

Draw 23.04%

Dallas	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 57.43%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.04%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 19.53%