Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 40.5% ( | 24.14% ( | 35.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.26% ( | 41.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.85% ( | 64.14% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( | 20.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.58% ( | 53.41% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.64% ( | 23.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.67% ( | 57.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 2-0 @ 5.99% ( 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 40.5% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.36% |