| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 31 | -8 | 34 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | -14 | 31 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | -12 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | -14 | 31 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | -12 | 30 |
| 10 | DC United | 30 | -28 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | DC United |
| 59.8% ( | 21.52% ( | 18.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.79% ( | 43.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( | 65.6% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.94% ( | 14.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.37% ( | 41.63% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.16% ( | 36.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.37% ( | 73.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.52% ( 3-1 @ 6.51% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 4-1 @ 3.19% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-0 @ 1.26% 5-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.94% Total : 59.79% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.51% | 0-1 @ 5.17% 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 1-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 18.68% |