Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 61.43% ( | 21.29% ( | 17.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( | 44.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( | 66.86% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( | 13.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.53% ( | 41.46% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.79% ( | 39.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.08% ( | 75.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 4-0 @ 3.43% ( 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 5-1 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 61.43% | 1-1 @ 10.09% 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.29% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 1-2 @ 4.73% ( 0-2 @ 2.4% ( 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 17.28% |