Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.