Major League Soccer

Mar 12, 2023 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
1 - 1
Columbus Crew

Kerr (24')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Medranda (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 1-1 Toronto
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 DC United
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Columbus Crew
46.45% ( -0.59)	24.49% ( -0.05)	29.07% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 56.82% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.3% (

0.59)

45.7% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.98% (

0.56)

68.02% (

-0.57)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.22% (

-0.01)

19.78% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.17% (

-0.02)

51.82% (

0.01)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

0.76)

29.17% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

0.92)

65.11% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

Toronto 46.45%

Columbus Crew 29.07%

Draw 24.48%

Toronto	Draw	Columbus Crew
1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 46.45%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.48%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.41% Total : 29.07%