Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
| 64.97% ( | 20.57% ( | 14.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.41% ( | 46.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% ( | 68.86% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.43% ( | 13.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.34% ( | 40.66% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.83% ( | 44.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.74% ( | 80.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( 2-0 @ 11.95% ( 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 3-0 @ 7.96% ( 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 4-0 @ 3.98% ( 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 5-1 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 64.96% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 2-2 @ 3.99% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 1-2 @ 4% ( 0-2 @ 2% ( 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 2-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.39% Total : 14.46% |