Major League Soccer

Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Talen Energy Stadium

Philadelphia
4 - 1
Columbus Crew

Gazdag (45+3' pen., 72' pen.), Carranza (52', 80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Glesnes (28' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-3 Philadelphia (3-0 pen.)
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Columbus Crew
57.38% ( -0.05)	22% ( 0.01)	20.61% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.95% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.43% (

-0.02)

42.57% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.02% (

-0.01)

64.97% (

0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.39% (

-0.02)

14.6% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.3% (

-0.04)

42.7% (

0.04)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52% (

0.03)

34.48% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81% (

0.03)

71.19% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 57.38%

Columbus Crew 20.61%

Draw 22%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.38%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22%	1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.61%