Major League Soccer

Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
4 - 0
Toronto

Gazdag (4', 60' pen., 63'), Uhre (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 4-0 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 1 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Toronto
61.51% ( 0.05)	20.1% ( -0.02)	18.38% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 58.7% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.88% (

0.03)

37.12% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.68% (

0.03)

59.31% (

-0.03)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.35% (

0.02)

11.65% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.31% (

0.05)

36.69% (

-0.05)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44% (

-0.02)

33.55% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8% (

-0.02)

70.19% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 61.51%

Toronto 18.38%

Draw 20.1%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.32% Total : 61.51%	1-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.1%	1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 18.38%