Major League Soccer

Oct 31, 2022 at 12am UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
3 - 1
NY City

Carranza (65'), Gazdag (67'), Burke (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moralez (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Cincinnati
Friday, October 21 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York City FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Montreal 1-3 NY City
Sunday, October 23 at 6pm in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York City FC
58.62% ( 2.6)	22.09% ( -0.53)	19.29% ( -2.08)

Both teams to score 53.45% (

-1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.16% (

-0.47)

44.83% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.81% (

-0.46)

67.19% (

0.46)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.03% (

0.7)

14.97% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.6% (

1.31)

43.4% (

-1.31)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.86% (

-2.37)

37.14% (

2.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.07% (

-2.43)

73.92% (

2.43)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 58.6%

New York City FC 19.29%

Draw 22.09%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.6% Total : 58.6%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.09%	0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.54% Total : 19.29%