Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 66.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.