New York Red Bulls
MLS Playoffs | First Round
Oct 15, 2022 at 5pm UK
Red Bull Arena
FC Cincinnati

NY Red Bulls
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Morgan (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Acosta (74' pen.), Vazquez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 2-5 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
58.12% (-0.012 -0.01)22.02%19.86% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.65% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)43.7% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)14.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11% (0.013999999999996 0.01)35.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.016999999999999 0.02)72.66% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 58.12%
    FC Cincinnati 19.86%
    Draw 22.02%
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.34%
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.03%
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 58.12%
1-1 @ 10.38%
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.32% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 19.86%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
TBC
81.8%
11
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 11pm
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Cincinnati
Klimala (23' pen.)
Edelman (85')
Miazga (13')
Miazga (37'), Nwobodo (66')
Jul 10, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Vazquez (20')
Blackett (2'), Cruz (30'), Kubo (90+1')
Cruz (58'), Acosta (90+3')
Morgan (29' pen.)
Tolkin (30'), Edwards (45'), Long (90+3')
Oct 3, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
NY Red Bulls

Matarrita (90+1'), Acosta (90+3')
Gutman (73')
Reyes (52')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
NY Red Bulls
0-0
Cincinnati

Tarek (23'), Yearwood (88')

Cruz (32'), Barreal (70'), Kubo (77')
Sep 20, 2020 12am
NY Red Bulls
0-1
Cincinnati

Long (8'), Nealis (29'), Casseres Jr (55')
Medunjanin (85')
Stanko (90+2')