Major League Soccer

Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

RFK Stadium

DC United
2 - 5
Cincinnati

Morrison (26'), Fletcher (46')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Acosta (6'), Brenner (8', 24', 37'), Vazquez (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 1-0 DC United
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for DC United had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	FC Cincinnati
36.78% ( 0.11)	25.06% ( 0.03)	38.16% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 57.55% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.08% (

-0.11)

45.92% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.77% (

-0.11)

68.23% (

0.11)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

0.01)

24.51% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

0.01)

58.97% (

-0.01)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

-0.12)

23.76% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.09% (

-0.17)

57.91% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

DC United 36.78%

FC Cincinnati 38.16%

Draw 25.05%

DC United	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 36.78%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05%	1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.16%