Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 4
FT
  • Ravel Morrison 26' goal
  • Kristian Fletcher 46' goal
  • goal Luciano Acosta 6'
  • goal Brenner 8'
  • goal Brenner 24'
  • goal Brenner 37'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 53'

DC United vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
Montreal 1 - 0 DC United
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Taxiarchis Fountas

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati 2 - 3 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Brandon Vazquez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for DC United had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result

DC United 36.78% (+0.11)
Draw 25.06% (+0.03)
FC Cincinnati 38.16% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.55% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.08% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 45.92% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 31.77% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 68.23% (+0.11)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5 75.49% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.51% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 41.03% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.97% (-0.01)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 76.24% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 23.76% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 42.09% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 57.91% (+0.18)

Score analysis

DC United 36.78%
Draw 25.05%
FC Cincinnati 38.16%
DC United
2-1 @ 8.28% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.19% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.76% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 36.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.82% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.37% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.16%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Mar 5, 2022 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tyler Blackett 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Moses Nyeman 80'
  • yellowcard Brad Smith 90'+1'
  • goal Ola Kamara 90'+8'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 35
Sep 26, 2021 12.30am
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Paul Arriola 7' goal
  • Steven Birnbaum 21' goal
  • Bill Hamid 34' yellowcard
  • Paul Arriola 41' goal
  • Nigel Robertha 72' goal
  • Nigel Robertha 74' goal
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 80'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 81'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 20
Aug 1, 2021 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Gyau 36' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 60' yellowcard
  • Nick Hagglund 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Moreno 15'
  • yellowcard Joseph Mora 41'
  • redcard Moses Nyeman 52'
  • yellowcard Yordy Reyna 72'
  • redcard Joseph Mora 90'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 19
Oct 19, 2020 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Brandon Vazquez 66' goal
  • yellowcard Yamil Rodrigo Asad 27'
  • yellowcard Moses Nyeman 32'
  • goal Donovan Pines 36'
  • goal Chris Odoi-Atsem 78'
  • yellowcard Chris Odoi-Atsem 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
Aug 22, 2020 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Mathieu Deplagne 13' yellowcard
  • Caleb Stanko 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Russell Canouse 35'
  • yellowcard Edison Flores 88'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Abu 90'+1'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 22
Jun 14, 2020 1.00am