Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Matheus Rossetto 60' goal
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 52'

Atlanta United vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta 2 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Giorgos Giakoumakis

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
DC United 3 - 2 Toronto
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Deandre Kerr

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Atlanta United 58.52% (+0.56)
Draw 21.49% (-0.32)
Toronto 19.99% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.69% (+0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.89% (+1.12)
Under 2.5 41.12% (-1.11)
Over 3.5 36.49% (+1.13)
Under 3.5 63.51% (-1.13)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 86.24% (+0.55)
Under 0.5 13.77% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 58.94% (+1.06)
Under 1.5 41.06% (-1.06)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 65.74% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 34.26% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 29.04% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 70.96% (-0.43)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 58.52%
Draw 21.48%
Toronto 19.99%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.29)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 6.57% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 6.13% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.52% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 3.26% (+0.13)
4-0 @ 3.04% (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.74% (+0.09)
5-1 @ 1.29% (+0.08)
5-0 @ 1.21% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 58.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.48%
Toronto
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.05% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 19.99%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juan Sanchez 47' goal
  • Juan Sanchez 62' goal
  • Juan Sanchez 62' goal
  • Thiago Almada 74' goal
  • Thiago Almada 74' goal
  • Juan Sanchez 88' goal
  • Juan Sanchez 89' goal
  • goal Ayomide Akinola 52'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 67'
Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan Osorio 8' goal
  • Jayden Nelson 28' yellowcard
  • Carlos Salcedo 52' yellowcard
  • Ralph Priso-Mbongue 78' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelino Moreno 54'
  • goal Luiz Araujo 57'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 70'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 43
Oct 30, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luiz Araujo 15' goal
  • Ezequiel Barco 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nick DeLeon 17'
  • yellowcard Kemar Lawrence 69'
  • goal Jordan Perruzza 88'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 39
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ifunanyachi Achara 24' yellowcard
  • Auro 83' redcard
  • Marco Delgado 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Rossetto 16'
  • goal Luiz Araujo 45'+2'
  • redcard Ezequiel Barco 84'
  • goal Marcelino Moreno 90'+7'
  • yellowcard 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Anton Walkes 90'+8'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 26
Aug 19, 2021 12.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ezequiel Barco 20' goal
Major League Soccer Gameweek 20
Oct 19, 2020 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field
  • Omar Gonzalez 43' yellowcard
  • Pablo Piatti 89' goal
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 81'