Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 45.97% | 24.93% | 29.1% |
| Both teams to score 55.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.36% | 47.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.16% | 69.84% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% | 20.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.59% | 53.41% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% | 30.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% | 66.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.97% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.16% Total : 29.1% |