Major League Soccer

Mar 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
5 - 1
Portland

Wiley (25'), Almada (45+5', 86'), Giakoumakis (59'), Araujo (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ikoba (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-3 Atlanta
Saturday, March 11 at 5pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Portland Timbers
59.07% ( -2.43)	21.1% ( 0.73)	19.83% ( 1.7)

Both teams to score 57.8% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.47% (

-0.71)

39.52% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.13% (

-0.74)

61.87% (

0.74)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.91% (

-0.92)

13.08% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.3% (

-1.9)

39.69% (

1.9)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.5% (

1.36)

33.49% (

-1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.87% (

1.46)

70.13% (

-1.46)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 59.07%

Portland Timbers 19.83%

Draw 21.1%

Atlanta United	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.46) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.36) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.57% Total : 59.07%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.1%	1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.83%