Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.