Major League Soccer

Mar 11, 2023 at 5pm UK

Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FC
0 - 3
Atlanta

FT(HT: 0-3)

Wiley (5', 45+2'), Araujo (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 1-1 Toronto
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Charlotte FC	Draw	Atlanta United
41.94% ( 0.53)	24.46% ( 0.01)	33.6% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 59.11% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.34% (

-0.2)

43.66% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.95% (

-0.19)

66.05% (

0.19)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08% (

0.16)

20.92% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.35% (

0.25)

53.65% (

-0.25)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

-0.41)

25.25% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99% (

-0.57)

60.01% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Charlotte FC 41.94%

Atlanta United 33.6%

Draw 24.46%

Charlotte FC	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.94%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46%	1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.6%