Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 49.63% ( | 26.41% ( | 23.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.1% ( | 56.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.19% ( | 77.81% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( | 23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.2% ( | 56.8% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.67% ( | 39.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.97% ( | 76.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 13.29% ( 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 49.63% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.95% |