Major League Soccer

Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Orlando City Stadium

Orlando City
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Torres (56' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Orlando City
Monday, October 17 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-2 Cincinnati
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orlando City in this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	New York Red Bulls
43.88% ( -0.05)	26.09% ( 0.01)	30.03% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 52.16% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.96% (

-0.04)

52.04% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.23% (

-0.04)

73.77% (

0.03)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.41% (

-0.04)

23.59% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.34% (

-0.06)

57.66% (

0.05)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.27%

31.73% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.85% (

68.15% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 43.88%

New York Red Bulls 30.03%

Draw 26.09%

Orlando City	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.88%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.03%