Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 1.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 18' goal
  • goal Andres Reyes 49'

Minnesota United vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 1.30am
Dallas 0 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Teemu Pukki

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 0 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Elias Manoel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Minnesota United 36.71% (+0.15)
Draw 25.95% (-0.06)
New York Red Bulls 37.34% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.42% (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.06% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 49.94% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 28.07% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 71.92% (-0.22)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 73.59% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 26.4% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 38.43% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 61.57% (-0.27)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 73.94% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 26.05% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 38.9% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 61.09% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 36.71%
Draw 25.95%
New York Red Bulls 37.34%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.2% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.1% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.64% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.71% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.52% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
New York Red Bulls
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.72% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 37.34%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 3
Mar 13, 2022 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sean Nealis 49' yellowcard
  • Dru Yearwood 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 39'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Reynoso 45'+3'
  • goal Luis Amarilla 51'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
Mar 15, 2020 11.00pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 6
Apr 7, 2019 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
  • Cristian Casseres 70' goal
  • goal Abu Danladi 34'
  • goal Romario Ibarra 50'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
Mar 24, 2018 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
  • Alex Muyl 15' goal
  • Marc Rzatkowski 38' yellowcard
  • Bradley Wright-Phillips 42' goal
  • Bradley Wright-Phillips 78' goal
  • yellowcard Collen Warner 39'
  • yellowcard Ibson 75'
Major League Soccer
Jul 22, 2017 9.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brent Kallman 53' yellowcard
  • Ibson 67' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Royer 16'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 37'
  • goal Bradley Wright-Phillips 67'
  • goal Alex Muyl 90'