Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 45.64% ( | 27.97% ( | 26.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.31% ( | 60.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% ( | 80.76% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( | 26.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% ( | 61.82% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.73% ( | 39.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.02% ( | 75.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 13.83% ( 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0-0 @ 10.44% ( 2-2 @ 4% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.46% Total : 26.38% |