Major League Soccer

Feb 25, 2023 at 9.30pm UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
2 - 0
NY City

Zimmerman (34'), Shaffelburg (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-0 Nashville
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-1 NY City
Monday, October 31 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nashville SC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	New York City FC
40.12% ( 0.11)	25.6% ( -0.03)	34.28% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 55.32% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.34% (

0.1)

48.66% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22% (

0.09)

70.77% (

-0.09)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02% (

0.1)

23.98% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.78% (

0.14)

58.21% (

-0.15)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76%

27.23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.34% (

62.66% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 40.12%

New York City FC 34.28%

Draw 25.59%

Nashville SC	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.12%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 34.28%