Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nashville SC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | New York City FC |
40.12% ( 0.11) | 25.6% ( -0.03) | 34.28% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.32% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.34% ( 0.1) | 48.66% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.22% ( 0.09) | 70.77% ( -0.09) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.02% ( 0.1) | 23.98% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.78% ( 0.14) | 58.21% ( -0.15) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% | 27.23% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.34% ( 0) | 62.66% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.12% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 34.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |