Major League Soccer

Mar 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
1 - 0
NY City

Bassi (55' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 2-0 Austin
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York City FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY City 3-2 DC United
Saturday, March 18 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	New York City FC
36.83% ( 0.1)	25.26% ( 0)	37.91% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 56.83% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.15% (

-0.02)

46.85% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.9% (

-0.02)

69.1% (

0.02)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

0.05)

24.9% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48% (

0.07)

59.52% (

-0.07)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

-0.07)

24.32% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.29% (

-0.09)

58.7% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 36.83%

New York City FC 37.91%

Draw 25.25%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 36.83%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.91%