Major League Soccer

Mar 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
3 - 0
Houston

Borrero (42'), Wood (53'), Bye (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 New England
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Houston
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Houston Dynamo
50.32% ( -0.02)	23.86% ( 0.01)	25.82% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.29% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.8% (

-0.05)

45.2% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.46% (

-0.04)

67.54% (

0.04)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.98% (

-0.03)

18.02% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.09% (

-0.04)

48.9% (

0.04)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.67% (

-0.02)

31.33% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.31% (

-0.02)

67.69% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 50.32%

Houston Dynamo 25.82%

Draw 23.85%

New England Revolution	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 50.32%	1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.82%