Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Dylan Borrero 42' goal
  • Bobby Wood 53' goal
  • Brandon Bye 65' goal

New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC 0 - 1 New England
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Carles Gil

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati 2 - 1 Houston
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Amine Bassi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result

New England Revolution 50.32% (-0.03)
Draw 23.86% (+0.02)
Houston Dynamo 25.82% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.29% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.8% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 45.2% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 32.46% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 67.54% (+0.04)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5 81.98% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 18.02% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 51.09% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 48.9% (+0.04)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 68.67% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.33% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.69% (+0.02)

Score analysis

New England Revolution 50.32%
Draw 23.85%
Houston Dynamo 25.82%
New England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.68% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 50.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 5.65% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.85%
Houston Dynamo
0-1 @ 6.55% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.52% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.8% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.82%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 1.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Darwin Quintero 37' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 76' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 85' goal
  • goal Carles Gil 63'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 27
Jul 4, 2020 1.30am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2019 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Massachusetts)
  • Antonio Delamea Mlinar 45' yellowcard
  • Antonio Delamea Mlinar 51' goal
  • Andrew Farrell 54' yellowcard
  • Juan Agudelo 83' yellowcard
  • Teal Bunbury 91' goal
  • goal Darwin Ceren 25'
  • yellowcard Rommel Quioto 43'
  • yellowcard Juan Cabezas 82'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Fuenmayor 86'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 6
Apr 1, 2018 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT BBVA Compass Stadium (Houston, Texas)
  • DaMarcus Beasley 35' redcard
  • Adolfo Machado 69' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Fuenmayor 86' yellowcard
  • goal Teal Bunbury 15'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Somi 52'
  • yellowcard Diego Fagundez 64'
  • goal Cristian Penilla 71'
Major League Soccer
Apr 8, 2017 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kei Kamara 52' goal
  • Juan Agudelo 72' goal
Major League Soccer
Mar 6, 2016 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Cristian Maidana 45' goal
  • Andrew Wenger 50' goal
  • Jalil Anibaba 55' yellowcard
  • Giles Barnes 77' goal
  • goal Diego Fagundez 4'
  • yellowcard Teal Bunbury 27'
  • yellowcard Je-Vaughn Watson 49'
  • goal Charlie Davies 52'
  • goal Daigo Kobayashi 93'