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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Cincinnati
2 - 1
Houston

Santos (19'), Nwobodo (48')
Barreal (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Schmitt (45+2')
Artur (10'), Schmitt (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-2 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo look a much-improved side under the helm of Olsen, but FC Cincinnati have home advantage, and they are undefeated in the previous two meetings between the sides. As such, we expect a narrow home victory, with the game likely to be a high-scoring affair judging by both teams' results in pre-season.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 54.23%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawHouston Dynamo
54.23% (-0.757 -0.76) 22.06% (0.137 0.14) 23.71% (0.622 0.62)
Both teams to score 60.17% (0.307 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.99% (0.053000000000004 0.05)39.01% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.67% (0.053000000000004 0.05)61.33% (-0.052 -0.05)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59% (-0.22699999999999 -0.23)14.41% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.68% (-0.436 -0.44)42.31% (0.439 0.44)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (0.545 0.55)29.7% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (0.656 0.66)65.76% (-0.654 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 54.23%
    Houston Dynamo 23.71%
    Draw 22.05%
FC CincinnatiDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.19% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.23%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 23.71%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Houston

FC Cincinnati
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Houston Dynamo
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2021 1.30am
Houston
1-1
Cincinnati
Pasher (3')
Figueroa (48'), Valentin (70'), Garcia (81')
Barreal (5')
Kubo (55')
Jul 7, 2019 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-2
Houston
Manneh (29'), Dally (38'), Ulloa (61')
Amaya (32')
Quioto (79' pen.), Hagglund (81' og.)
Elis (19'), Cabezas (25'), Struna (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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