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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Austin FC

Houston
2 - 0
Austin

Bassi (71' pen.), Herrera (86')
Franco (59'), Carrasquilla (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vaisanen (19'), Fagundez (52'), Lundqvist (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: New England 3-0 Houston
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-2 Austin
Sunday, March 12 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 Austin FC

 Houston have had two weeks to build some chemistry since their defeat against the Revs, but they are coming up against a team in Austin who appear to have more scoring depth than a year ago and will be in a foul mood following their CCL elimination.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
42.11% (0.128 0.13) 24.71% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 33.18% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.08% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (0.256 0.26)44.95% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7% (0.246 0.25)67.3% (-0.245 -0.25)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61% (0.169 0.17)21.39% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (0.26 0.26)54.37% (-0.26 -0.26)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (0.082000000000008 0.08)26.12% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (0.109 0.11)61.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 42.11%
    Austin FC 33.18%
    Draw 24.71%
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 33.18%

How you voted: Houston vs Austin

Houston Dynamo
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Austin FC
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2022 2am
Austin
3-1
Houston
Fagundez (15'), Urruti (57'), Ring (70')
Lima (66')
Carrasquilla (11')
Hadebe (14'), Lundqvist (62'), Herrera (80')
Apr 30, 2022 6.30pm
Houston
1-2
Austin
Ferreira (5')
Carrasquilla (47'), Hadebe (50'), Parker (88')
Pereira (39'), Driussi (66')
Driussi (36'), Ring (62'), Felipe (90+6')
Oct 24, 2021 10pm
Austin
2-1
Houston
Maric (7' og.), Driussi (45+4')
Pereira (38'), Driussi (47'), Kolmanic (54')
Cascante (90+2' og.)
Ceren (11'), Vera (74')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30am
Houston
3-0
Austin
Dorsey (1'), Picault (24', 64')
Picault (39'), Lundqvist (52')

Pochettino (22'), Ring (44'), Berhalter (51')
Aug 5, 2021 2am
Austin
3-2
Houston
Pochettino (7', 45+1'), Dominguez (56')
Stroud (83')
Pasher (27'), Picault (86')
Dorsey (79')
Ceren (20')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97
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