Major League Soccer

Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
2 - 0
Austin

Bassi (71' pen.), Herrera (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: New England 3-0 Houston
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Salt Lake 1-2 Austin
Sunday, March 12 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Austin FC
42.11% ( 0.13)	24.71% ( -0.06)	33.18% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 58.08% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.05% (

0.26)

44.95% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.7% (

0.25)

67.3% (

-0.25)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.61% (

0.17)

21.39% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.62% (

0.26)

54.37% (

-0.26)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.88% (

0.08)

26.12% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.81% (

0.11)

61.18% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 42.11%

Austin FC 33.18%

Draw 24.71%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Austin FC
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.11%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.18%