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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Park
New York City

Chicago Fire
1 - 1
NY City

Herbers (75')
Pineda (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (39')
Pellegrini (44'), Jasson (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 New England
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 NY City
Saturday, February 25 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 New York City FC

With there being so many new faces in the NYCFC lineup, we suspect it will take some time for them to gel together as a unit, particularly on the backline. Nick Cushing's side should have an easier time containing the Chicago Fire attack rather than Nashville's, but New York have fired blanks in their past two matches, suggesting that they do not have the firepower to take all three points.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
39.16% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 26.5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 34.34% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54% (0.057000000000002 0.06)52.46% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)74.13% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.058000000000007 0.06)26.21% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.078000000000003 0.08)61.3% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 39.16%
    New York City FC 34.34%
    Draw 26.49%
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.34%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs NY City

Chicago Fire
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
New York City FC
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
May 22, 2022 10pm
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')

Sekulic (63')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Sep 30, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
2-0
NY City
Beric (48'), Navarro (66')
Navarro (16'), Gimenez (59')

Medina (10'), Acevedo (27')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
4New York City FCNY City158251916326
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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