Major League Soccer

Mar 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
3 - 2
DC United

Magno (17'), Rodriguez (37'), Andrade (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Benteke (46'), Birnbaum (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY City 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 1-1 Orlando City
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 70.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	DC United
70.81% ( 0)	17.49% ( -0)	11.69%

Both teams to score 50.58% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.7% (

39.3% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.36% (

61.64% (

-0)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.11% (

9.89% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.24% (

32.76% (

-0)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.13%

43.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.98% (

80.02% (

-0)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 70.81%

DC United 11.69%

Draw 17.49%

New York City FC	Draw	DC United
2-0 @ 11.61% 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 8.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 5.18% 4-1 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 2.4% 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.76% 6-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.71% Total : 70.81%	1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.94% Total : 17.49%	0-1 @ 3.57% 1-2 @ 3.41% 0-2 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.08% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.22% Total : 11.69%